Panel unit root tests under cross-sectional dependence

In this paper alternative approaches for testing the unit root hypothesis in panel data are considered. First, a robust version of the Dickey-Fuller t -statistic under contemporaneous correlated errors is suggested. Second, the GLS t -statistic is considered, which is based on the t -statistic of the transformed model. The asymptotic power of both tests is compared against a sequence of local alternatives. To adjust for short-run serial correlation of the errors, we propose a pre-whitening procedure that yields a test statistic with a standard normal limiting distribution as N and T tends to infinity. The test procedure is further generalized to accommodate individual specific intercepts or linear time trends. From our Monte Carlo simulations it turns out that the robust OLS t -statistic performs well with respect to size and power, whereas the GLS t -statistic may suffer from severe size distortions in small and moderate sample sizes. The tests are applied to test for a unit root in real exchange rates.     

辽宁沿海经济带地脉文化旅游开发利用的经验、问题与对策

地脉文化也被称为地脉和文脉，是一个地方旅游发展的基石。根据地脉文化与旅游产品关系对比可以将旅游开发分为两类四型：（1）旅游产品扎根于地脉文化发展模式 （根基稳固、主次分明）；（2）旅游产品脱离地脉文化发展模式 （左顾右盼、横生枝节）。本文根据这一基本原理对辽宁沿海经济带旅游发展及旅游产品进行了系统分析，总结了辽宁沿海经济带地脉文化旅游开发利用的经验、问题与对策建议。结果显示：辽宁沿海经济带的地脉文化基础有 “海” “滩” “宜” “河” “港” “城” “工” “农” “山” “史”十大方面。 “海” “城” “山”的旅游产品是辽宁沿海经济带各地当前旅游发展主要方向； “滩” “农” “史”旅游产品是辽宁沿海经济带各地当前旅游发展主要方向； “滩”“农”“史”正在发展； “宜”（宜人气候、度假资源）表面发展丰富，实际潜力巨大； “河”（河流、湖泊、水库） “港” （港口） “工”（工业旅游）是被忽视或者发展滞后的地脉文化资源。     

光杆卡的标准化问题应引起充分重视

通过对油田普遍延用的卡瓦式光杆卡缺陷分析，论述了贯彻执行新标准SY／T5029的必要性。介绍了按新标准研制“无压痕标准光杆卡”的过程和应用价值。并对新标准中的缺点提出了改进建议。     

Using Market Expectations to Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Crude Oil Market

The wide fluctuations of oil prices from 2003 to 2008 have attracted the interest of academics and policymakers. A popular view is that these fluctuations were caused by speculative bubbles due to the increased financialization of oil futures markets. This hypothesis, however, is difficult to examine since the fundamental price of oil is unobservable and, therefore, econometric evidence in favor of bubbles may actually be due to misspecified market fundamentals. In this paper, we extend two recently proposed methodologies for bubble detection that alleviate this problem by using market expectations of future prices. Both methodologies provide no evidence of speculative bubbles.     

关于建筑监理体系建设的一些探讨

随着国家经济的快速发展,各行各业都在不断地进步和创新以适应时代的脚步,建筑作为国之富强的一项外在体现,应该更加的加强建筑的质量,完善建筑监理体系,建设利国利民的高质量建筑,下面就关于建筑监理体系建设作出一些简单的讨论。     

Fractional integration and cointegration in merger and acquisitions in the US petroleum industry

This article employs methodologies based on fractional integration and cointegration to analyse the time-series properties of merger and acquisitions (M&A) activity and crude oil prices in the US from 1980 to 2012. Our results indicate that an increase in the crude oil price produces a significant increase in the M&A data between 2 and 3 months after the initial shock.     

巷道快速掘进技术在贵州省煤与瓦斯突出煤层中的探讨与应用

巷道快速掘进技术是一项系统工程。为了实现矿井高产高效,必须以巷道快速掘进技术为前提和保障。本文以贵州省为例,探讨了巷道快速掘进技术的研究现状及影响因素。针对贵州某矿突出综合检测指标经常超限、掘进速度慢等问题,采用了高压水射流割缝与瓦斯抽放边抽边掘相结合技术。研究表明:该项技术能有效削弱煤层突出危险性,大幅度提高瓦斯抽放量且巷道掘进速度提高了2~3倍。同时根据贵州省的本土情况,提出了针对性地建议和措施,能为巷道快速掘进技术的推广与应用提供一定的指导。     

Un-forgetting walls by lines on maps: A case study on property rights,cadastral mapping,and the landscape of the Kowloon Walled City

This paper demonstrates that the framing of post-war Kowloon Walled City through photos has been dominated by the maps commonly used to represent this Chinese enclave in colonial Hong Kong as a place. Inspired by and extending Wylie’s (2009) argument that emptiness and presence are equally important, this paper uses basic GIS techniques and hitherto unpublished archival materials to help (a) argues that the colonial government’s mindset of clearly defining the spatial boundary of the city, which is a subtle admission of an officially and diplomatically denied otherness in ownership, created the city as a quasi-cadastral unit; and (b) explains how this shaped the framing of the landscape of the city by promoting investment and trade in high-rise housing development units. The government did not destroy its walls. When these were physically destroyed, it did not ignore the walls’ original alignments but treated the city as a planning unit, as if they still existed.     

Is Downward Wage Flexibility the Primary Factor of Japan's Prolonged Deflation?

By using both macro‐ and micro‐level data, this paper investigates how wages and prices evolved during Japan's lost two decades. We find that downward nominal wage rigidity was present in Japan until the late 1990s, but disappeared after 1998 as annual wages became downwardly flexible. Moreover, nominal wage flexibility may have contributed to Japan's relatively low unemployment rates. Although macro‐level movements in nominal wages and prices seemed to be synchronized, such synchronicity is not observed at the industry level. Therefore, wage deflation does not seem to be a primary factor of Japan's prolonged deflation.     

Evolving splines and seasonal unit roots in weekly agricultural prices

The univariate statistical properties of agricultural price series need to be examined as a first step in the analysis of price transmission mechanisms. However, in the case of weekly price series, increasingly available, the testing procedures usually applied in this step are not suitable to deal with evolving seasonal effects. In this study, a method of testing for seasonal unit roots in weekly series of agricultural prices is described. When the deterministic seasonal component does not remain constant over time, the restricted evolving spline model (RESM) is shown to be a useful parametric formulation to capture the deterministic seasonal pattern. Therefore, the RESM model should be included as a deterministic component in auxiliary regression for unit root tests at seasonal frequencies. This proposal is applied to three weekly series of Canary Islands banana prices. From the standard seasonal unit root tests, the null hypothesis is failed to be rejected at the 5% or 10% significance level at some seasonal frequencies for each one of the series. Once critical values are obtained by simulation exercises when the RESM model is included, the hypotheses of unit root are rejected at each one of the seasonal frequencies for all of the three series.